An Empirical Analysis on the Changes and Influencing Factors of Rural Energy Consumption in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei

The rural energy development in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is unbalanced, and the proportion of coal consumption in the rural areas of the Tianjin-Hebei region is relatively high, causing serious environmental problems. Based on the relevant data from 2002 to 2018, this paper analyzes the changes in rural energy consumption in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and uses the LMDI method to measure the effect of its total energy consumption. Research shows that the rural energy consumption structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is gradually changing from traditional simplification and extensiveness to diversification, commercialization, and cleanliness; the decline in the total consumption of domestic energy is a combination of positive driving factors and negative restraining factors. As a result, the per capita disposable income played a positive role in promoting the effect of total energy consumption, while the structure of energy consumption, energy consumption intensity and population size all played a negative role in the effect of total energy consumption, leading to a reduction in total energy consumption. Energy consumption intensity is the most significant influencing factor in recent years. It is recommended to further reduce the intensity of domestic energy consumption, adjust the rural energy policy of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei according to local conditions, and promote the optimization of energy consumption structure.