捕获土地价值:土地财政的历史考察与制度反思

Capturing Land Value: A Historical Review and Institutional Reflection on Land Finance

  • 摘要: 如何有效捕获土地增值收益并用于公共利益是发展中国家普遍面临的重大问题。研究以亨利·乔治的“涨价归公”思想、哈特曼-斯皮特“主动—被动”二分法与历史制度主义正反馈机制为理论框架,采用过程追踪法,旨在揭示中国土地财政的转型历程与生成逻辑。研究发现,四十多年来中央通过立法重构、制度重建、反腐清障和金融赋能,实现了土地财政从私人主导的被动模式转向政府主导的主动模式,建成了全球规模最大的主动型土地价值捕获体系,从而支撑了中国快速城市化与基础设施现代化。但该模式也形成了地方债务急剧扩张的路径依赖,叠加人口负增长与房地产深度调整,传统依赖增量扩张的土地财政已难以为继。研究建议,中央应继续遵循乔治主义“土地增值社会共享”的理念,通过建立全周期“涨价归公”机制、提高土地收益用于民生性支出的比重,加快构建公平可持续的现代土地公共财政体系,以推动土地财政从“增长机器”向“公平基石”转型。

     

    Abstract: How to effectively capture the increment of land value and utilize it for public welfare is a major issue commonly faced by developing countries. This study, based on Henry George's "land value capture for public use" theory, Hartmann-Spiegel's "active-passive" dichotomy, and the positive feedback mechanism of historical institutionalism, adopts the process-tracing method to reveal the transformation process and generation logic of China's land finance. The research finds that over the past four decades, the central government has achieved a shift from a private-led passive model to a government-led active model of land finance through legislative reconstruction, institutional rebuilding, anti-corruption and clearing obstacles, and financial empowerment. It has established the world's largest active land value capture system, which has supported China's rapid urbanization and infrastructure modernization. However, this model has also led to a path dependence of local debt expansion. Coupled with negative population growth and deep adjustments in the real estate sector, the traditional land finance model that relies on incremental expansion is no longer sustainable. The study suggests that the central government should continue to follow George's idea of "social sharing of land value increment", establish a full-cycle "land value increment for public use" mechanism, increase the proportion of land revenue used for public welfare expenditures, and accelerate the construction of a fair and sustainable modern land public finance system to promote the transformation of land finance from a "growth machine" to a "fair cornerstone".

     

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