政府与燃煤电厂的碳减排政策博弈基于多目标决策

Game Between the Government and Coal-fired Power Plants on Carbon Emission Reduction Policybased on multi-objective decision-making

  • 摘要: 随着化石能源的过度消费,如何减少碳排放是政府急需解决的问题之一。燃煤电厂作为碳排放的主要来源之一,受到政府碳减排管控的影响。另一方面,燃煤电厂作为企业,必然以追求利润最大化作为目标。因此,燃煤电厂与政府之间存在碳减排政策上的博弈。本文以政府与燃煤电厂为研究对象,运用演化博弈和迭代等理论构建多目标决策模型。结果表明:我国现阶段的政府与燃煤电厂博弈会趋向于(碳交易政策,消极减排),但最后会演化到(碳税政策,积极减排)。

     

    Abstract: With the excessive consumption of fossil energy, how to reduce carbon emissions is one of the urgent problems that the government needs to solve. As one of the main sources of carbon emissions, coal-fired power plants are affected by government carbon emission control. On the other hand, as a coal-fired power plant, it is inevitable to pursue profit maximization. Therefore, there is a game between carbon-fired power plants and the government on carbon emission reduction policies. This paper takes the government and coal-fired power plants as the research object, and uses the theory of evolutionary game and iteration to construct a multi-objective decision-making model. The results show that the game between China's current government and coal-fired power plants tends to be carbon trading policy and passive emission reduction, but in the end it will evolve to carbon tax policy, active emission reduction.

     

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