产业聚集度、新质生产力与出口技术复杂度

Industrial Agglomeration, New Quality Productivity, and Export Technological Complexity

  • 摘要: 新质生产力是当前中国经济转型的核心驱动力。作为一个多维度的概念,其理论与实践的不断深化为中国乃至全球的可持续发展提供了新的思路和方法。本文通过构建产业聚集度与新质生产力对出口技术复杂度的理论分析框架及相关假设,从理论上论证了产业聚集度和新质生产力对出口技术复杂度均产生显著影响,产业聚集度与新质生产力之间的协同作用亦能共同促进出口技术复杂度的提升。基于新质生产力的内涵,建立涵盖生产资料、生产对象、生产水平和生产要素四个维度的综合评价体系,以得出新质生产力的综合得分。依据产业聚集度与新质生产力对出口技术复杂度的分析,本文进一步构建了相应的空间计量模型,以验证2012至2022年间我国出口技术复杂度与新质生产力之间的关系。实证结果表明,产业聚集度与新质生产力确实显著促进了出口技术复杂度的增长,且二者之间存在明显的协同效应。

     

    Abstract: The concept of "new quality productivity" serves as a core driving force behind the current economic transformation in China. As a multidimensional concept, the continuous deepening of its theory and practice provides new ideas and methods for sustainable development, both in China and globally. This paper constructs a theoretical analysis framework concerning the relationship between industrial agglomeration and new quality productivity on export technological complexity, along with relevant hypotheses. The analysis theoretically demonstrates that both industrial agglomeration and new quality productivity significantly influence export technological complexity, and their synergistic effect can collaboratively enhance the complexity of exports.Based on the connotation of new quality productivity, this paper develops a comprehensive evaluation system encompassing four dimensions: production materials, production objects, production levels, and production factors, to derive a comprehensive score for new quality productivity. Following the analysis of the roles of industrial agglomeration and new quality productivity on export technological complexity, this paper further constructs an appropriate spatial econometric model to verify the relationship between export technological complexity and new quality productivity in China from 2012 to 2022. The empirical results indicate that both industrial agglomeration and new quality productivity indeed significantly promote the growth of export technological complexity, and there exists a pronounced synergistic effect between the two.

     

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