双碳背景下绿证市场与碳市场耦合机理研究

Research on the Coupling Mechanism of Green Electricity Certificate Market and Carbon Market under the "Dual Carbon" Goals

  • 摘要: 在“双碳”目标加速推进的宏观背景下,电力市场、绿色电力证书交易市场与碳排放权交易市场构成了推动能源清洁低碳转型的关键市场化机制。随着绿证全覆盖及CCER重启等新政出台,环境权益市场的顶层设计日益完善,但绿证市场与碳市场在实际运行中仍面临统筹程度待提升、价格信号传导受阻、环境权益边界模糊及数据割裂等深层次问题。本文首先立足于最新政策,深入剖析了绿证市场与碳市场的交互机理与协同发展路径,系统梳理两大市场的功能定位与发展现状,识别当前机制下存在两大市场耦合的核心障碍;然后基于碳成本内化、电价传导及绿证溢价形成的经济学逻辑,构建了“碳电证”全链条价格联动与供给侧排他性资产配置的耦合机理分析框架;最后提出具体优化路径,旨在为构建逻辑自洽、运行高效的绿证市场与碳市场协同治理体系提供理论依据与决策支持,推动我国环境权益市场迈向高质量发展新阶段。

     

    Abstract: Against the backdrop of accelerating "Dual Carbon" targets, the electricity market, the Green Electricity Certificate market, and the carbon emission trading market constitute pivotal market-based mechanisms driving the clean energy transition. Although recent policy advancements—such as the full coverage of GEC issuance and the reboot of the China Certified Emission Reduction scheme—have refined the top-level design of the environmental equity market, practical operations remain constrained by deep-seated challenges, including insufficient cross-market coordination, obstructed price signal transmission, ambiguous boundaries of environmental rights, and data fragmentation. Grounded in the latest policy context, this study first dissects the interaction mechanisms and synergistic development pathways between the GEC and carbon markets, systematically reviewing their functional positioning and development status to identify core coupling obstacles under the current mechanism. Subsequently, drawing on the economic logic of carbon cost internalization, electricity price pass-through, and green premium formation, the paper constructs an analytical framework for the "Carbon-Electricity-GEC" nexus, focusing on full-chain price linkage and supply-side exclusive asset allocation. Finally, specific optimization pathways are proposed to provide a theoretical foundation and decision-making support for establishing a logically coherent and efficient synergistic governance system, thereby propelling China’s environmental equity market toward a new stage of high-quality development.

     

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