西部集中式光伏跨区平价的经济分析

Economic Analysis of Cross-Regional Parity of Centralized Photovoltaics in Western China

  • 摘要: 发展太阳能发电是清洁能源转型的主要途径。受到我国太阳能资源分布与电力负荷需求具有较为明显的逆向分布矛盾影响,通过特高压电网实现西部地区太阳能的异地消纳是潜在的平价路径。本文通过LCOE模型测算光伏发电成本,结合现有的跨省跨区专项工程,综合考虑过网费等输电成本,分析光伏发电实现跨区平价上网的经济性。测算表明,到2025年可以基本实现西部光伏的异地平价上网。同时也结合国内跨省输电现状,对十四五规划提出政策建议。

     

    Abstract: Developing solar power generation is the main way of clean energy transformation. Due to the contradiction between the distribution of solar energy resources and the demand of electric power load, it is a potential way to realize the remote consumption of solar energy in the western region through UHV grid. This paper calculates the generation cost by LCOE model, considers the transmission cost such as network fee, and analyzes the economy of photovoltaic power generation to achieve cross regional parity on grid. The calculation shows that by 2025, the grid access of photovoltaics in different places can be basically realized. At the same time, combined with the current situation of domestic cross-provincial power transmission, policy suggestions are put forward for the 14th Five Year Plan.

     

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